SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 202619 days left

PGA Championship: Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish top 5?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$576 volume
$576 liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$39K

Best sibling

Joe Highsmith 1¢

Ticker

KXPGATOP5-PGC26-ALF

Market snapshot

Alex Fitzpatrick in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for PGA Championship: Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish top 5?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $576. In the PGA Championship family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Alex Fitzpatrick

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2026

24h volume

$576

Family context

16 outcomes · PGA Championship

Quote range

1¢-45¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 45¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGATOP5-PGC26-ALF. Family volume: $39K.

Price history

7¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 7¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
3¢3.3K
AskSize
7¢3.0K
8¢10K
10¢5.6K
12¢5.7K
29¢420

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Alex Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP5-PGC26-ALF

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

61326.5%

IY (No)

58.7%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

32

Overround

2.7%

LAS

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

61326.5%
58.7%
Adj IY
0%
32
Overround
2.7%
LAS
1.00

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.