SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 14, 202633 days left

PGA Championship: Will Justin Thomas finish top 5?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$737 volume
$725 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$39K

Best sibling

Joe Highsmith 1¢

Ticker

KXPGATOP5-PGC26-JTHO

Market snapshot

Justin Thomas in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for PGA Championship: Will Justin Thomas finish top 5?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $451. In the PGA Championship family, this outcome ranks #10 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Justin Thomas

Family rank

#10 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

10¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 14, 2026

24h volume

$451

Family context

16 outcomes · PGA Championship

Quote range

1¢-45¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 45¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGATOP5-PGC26-JTHO. Family volume: $39K.

Price history

10¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 10¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢58K
7¢20
6¢34
5¢10K
3¢100
AskSize
10¢120
11¢8.0K
12¢2.7K
13¢2.6K
14¢3.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP5-PGC26-JTHO

SF Signal
SF Index
4167.49
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14587.0%

IY (No)

82.6%

Adj IY

4167%

CRI

13

Overround

2.7%

LAS

0.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14587.0%
82.6%
Adj IY
4167%
13
Overround
2.7%
LAS
0.43

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.