What is the current probability for "Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 16¢ (16% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 13512.8% and 490.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 goals?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no volume or open interest, making it effectively non-tradeable despite the wide 61¢ spread.

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16¢

Bid/Ask 16/17¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $824.87·OI $824.87·Closes May 10, 2026·14d remaining

KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25PITPHI-PIT2

7-day price264 snapshots · 8 regime

17¢16¢ current

Apr 191¢Apr 25

Analysis

7d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no volume or open interest, making it effectively non-tradeable despite the wide 61¢ spread. The 0¢ price implies the market maker has assigned near-zero probability to Pittsburgh winning by 3+ goals, which is reasonable for an away game but seems extreme given that such margins occur regularly in hockey. With nearly a year until the April 25, 2026 game, this market appears abandoned and would require significant activity to become functional for actual prediction purposes.

Resolution rules

If Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 goals in the Pittsburgh at Philadelphia professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 13512.8%

IY (No) 490.3%

Adj IY 6756%

CRI 5

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	13512.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	490.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6756%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 7:45:59 PM

Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:38:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25PITPHI-PIT2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →