SimpleFunctions

Baltimore Ravens to win Pro Football: AFC North

Baltimore Ravens is priced at 43¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 32¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 19¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Pro Football: AFC North Champion.

Price history

43¢ current

6¢
25¢50¢75¢
May 9, 2026Jun 8, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Baltimore Ravens

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Baltimore Ravens 43¢

Range

6¢-43¢

Family volume

$11K

Identifier

0x74472d82...4e44

Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

43¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

32¢

Ask

51¢

Spread

19¢

Reported volume

$461

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · Pro Football: AFC North Champion

Closes

Jan 4, 2027

Family volume

$11K

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 51¢

Polymarket
19¢ spread
BidSize
32¢80
31¢100
30¢100
29¢100
28¢20
25¢28
24¢46
10¢100
AskSize
51¢7
52¢100
58¢47
59¢57
70¢40
91¢195
92¢19
95¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 4, 2027

Identifier

0x74472d82…4e44

SF Signal
SF Index
230.75
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 42¢, +1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

230.7%

IY (No)

131.3%

Adj IY

231%

CRI

1

RV

675%

VR

4.39

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

230.7%
131.3%
Adj IY
231%
1
RV
675%
VR
4.39
IAR
2.6/h
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.