Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?
Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Polymarket, closing January 4, 2027. The Seahawks are priced at 36¢ with a notably asymmetric risk profile: the "Yes" side offers 282% annualized yield versus just 68% for "No," reflecting the substantial underdog positioning and the market's assessment of low near-term probability.
Analysis
The Seahawks are priced at 36¢ with a notably asymmetric risk profile: the "Yes" side offers 282% annualized yield versus just 68% for "No," reflecting the substantial underdog positioning and the market's assessment of low near-term probability. Zero 24-hour volume combined with $474k open interest and a wide 12¢ spread suggests illiquidity despite the long 263-day timeframe, indicating this market may struggle to attract fresh capital. The extreme realized volatility (247%) and elevated info arrival rate (0.6/h) suggest significant uncertainty around roster changes and offseason developments that could materially shift division odds before the 2026 season begins.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0xcc9f029bbc572cbd3ef5dcb2befcc25ee7cbd38ee3c6af7f78fbeb9bafbffe64 yes 100