Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market is pricing Carolina's chances of landing 5+ primetime slots at just 10%, yet the asymmetric 1721.8% implied yield on Yes positions suggests severe illiquidity rather than genuine conviction—the $341 open interest and zero 24-hour volume indicate minimal trading activity.
Analysis
This market is pricing Carolina's chances of landing 5+ primetime slots at just 10%, yet the asymmetric 1721.8% implied yield on Yes positions suggests severe illiquidity rather than genuine conviction—the $341 open interest and zero 24-hour volume indicate minimal trading activity. The recent price movement from 5¢ to 7¢ over seven days shows modest upward momentum, though with such thin liquidity the spread could widen significantly on any meaningful order, and the 13 Cliff Risk Index flags potential resolution ambiguity that could complicate settlement.
Resolution rules
If Carolina plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-CAR yes 100