Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 32% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 32¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a wide 14¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in whether Cincinnati gets 5+ primetime games in 2026-27.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a wide 14¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in whether Cincinnati gets 5+ primetime games in 2026-27. The 0¢ price implies near-zero probability, yet the Yes side offers an extraordinary 275.4% implied yield, indicating potential mispricing given Cincinnati's recent playoff success and market size typically warrant primetime slots. With 282 days to expiry and only a modest 2-point cliff risk index, this appears to be a liquidity trap rather than a genuine market consensus, though the low price may reflect genuine skepticism about Cincinnati's primetime allocation relative to larger markets.
Resolution rules
If Cincinnati plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-CIN yes 100