Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 54% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 54¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility despite a reasonable 282-day timeframe, with zero 24-hour volume and only $313 open interest creating a 5¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility despite a reasonable 282-day timeframe, with zero 24-hour volume and only $313 open interest creating a 5¢ spread. The realized volatility of 1251% and dramatic 7-day price swing from 10¢ to 50¢ suggest thin order books are driving outsized moves rather than fundamental shifts in Los Angeles Chargers primetime game probability. The symmetric 129.6% implied yield on both sides indicates the market is pricing in significant uncertainty, though the neutral regime score and low cliff risk suggest this is primarily a liquidity/information problem rather than an imminent resolution catalyst.
Resolution rules
If Los Angeles C plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-LAC yes 100