What is the current probability for "QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026.

PolymarketApr 30, 2026

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 100¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 100¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Open on Polymarket JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

100¢

$18.3M volume

$3.8M liquidity

14% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$126.9M

Best sibling

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Saudi Arabia 0¢

Ticker

0xf220061c…ad57

Price history

100¢ current

+88¢

Apr 23, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

100 / 100¢

Polymarket

0¢ spread

BidSize

100¢270K

100¢682K

100¢2.0M

99¢20K

99¢10K

99¢19K

99¢10K

99¢2.0K

AskSize

100¢1.5M

100¢350K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892). This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count. An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Apr 30, 2026

Identifier

0xf220061c…ad57

Event family

Middle East / Israel.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$126.9M

Outcomes

Highest price