SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202657 days left

Netanyahu out by June 30?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$4.8M volume
$212K liquidity
78% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$6.2M

Best sibling

December 31 44¢

Ticker

0x865303cc…3cce

Price history

5¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢32K
4¢143K
3¢58K
2¢34K
AskSize
5¢51K
6¢66K
7¢37K
8¢36K
9¢2.5K
10¢400
11¢10
12¢1.7K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x865303cc…3cce

Event family

Netanyahu out by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$6.2M

Outcomes

3

Highest price

December 31 44¢

Current share

78%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

12103.8%
33.5%
Adj IY
4842%
19
LAS
0.20

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