SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 66¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 62¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

66¢
$18K volume
$3K liquidity
52% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$34K

Best sibling

$500M 31¢

Ticker

0xc9f02df8…2a1e

Market snapshot

$100M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 66¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $18K. In the Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

$100M

Family rank

#1 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

66¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

Reported volume

$18K

Family context

10 outcomes · Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

4¢-66¢

Family leader

$100M 66¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: 0xc9f02df8613beff1bfd7fd9536f0eca2e3db5f3b5052e9f7ea44627da2ef2a1e. Family volume: $34K.

Price history

66¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

62 / 68¢

Polymarket
6¢ spread
BidSize
62¢93
61¢6
59¢200
55¢20
54¢319
53¢50
37¢7
36¢25
AskSize
68¢7
69¢15
70¢20
76¢46
77¢35
78¢41
79¢36
96¢14

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0xc9f02df8…2a1e

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

31.3%

IY (No)

117.8%

Adj IY

103%

CRI

2

RV

443%

VR

7.95

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

31.3%
117.8%
Adj IY
103%
2
RV
443%
VR
7.95
IAR
4.5/h
Overround
1.7%
LAS
0.12

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