SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 34¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 35¢ spread.

Implied probability

34¢
$364 volume
$187 liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$34K

Best sibling

$100M 65¢

Ticker

0x5ea3bfa0…45b5

Market snapshot

$600M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 34¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $364. In the Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

$600M

Family rank

#3 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

34¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

Reported volume

$364

Family context

10 outcomes · Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

5¢-65¢

Family leader

$100M 65¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0x5ea3bfa0c978191b52596309368f6de493fd107922299291fa869590033345b5. Family volume: $34K.

Price history

34¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 19, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 51¢

Polymarket
35¢ spread
BidSize
100¢457
16¢85
15¢99
14¢42
9¢6
4¢12
3¢16
2¢38
AskSize
51¢12
52¢100
54¢100
57¢100
60¢13
94¢9
95¢20
98¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0x5ea3bfa0…45b5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

112.6%

IY (No)

32.7%

Adj IY

113%

CRI

2

RV

969%

VR

8.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

112.6%
32.7%
Adj IY
113%
2
RV
969%
VR
8.72
IAR
3.4/h
Overround
1.8%

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