What is the current probability for "Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 66¢ (66% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 244 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 80.4% and 277.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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66¢

Bid/Ask 56/76¢·Spread 20¢·Vol $0·OI $2,433.979·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining

0x5afab68955def438268a632c648ad6a296ba749f934cc203410f5f615924b4fe

7-day price1329 snapshots · 22 regime

87¢65¢ current

Apr 839¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 80.4%

IY (No) 277.3%

Adj IY 96%

CRI 2

Overround 0.2%

LAS 0.31

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	80.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	277.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	96%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.31	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

20¢

Computed

5/1/2026, 1:29:15 PM

Observability mediumEvent type financial

Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 1:23:37 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x5afab68955def438268a632c648ad6a296ba749f934cc203410f5f615924b4fe yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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