SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 15, 20264 days left

San Diego vs Milwaukee Winner?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

54¢
$21K volume
$4K liquidity
92% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$23K

Best sibling

San Diego 47¢

Ticker

KXMLBGAME-26MAY121940SDMIL-MIL

Market snapshot

Milwaukee in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for San Diego vs Milwaukee Winner?. The displayed quote is 54¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $21K. In the San Diego vs Milwaukee Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Milwaukee

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

54¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 15, 2026

24h volume

$21K

Family context

2 outcomes · San Diego vs Milwaukee Winner

Quote range

47¢-53¢

Family leader

Milwaukee 53¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBGAME-26MAY121940SDMIL-MIL. Family volume: $23K.

Price history

54¢ current

+37¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 10, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 54¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
53¢1
52¢3.3K
51¢31K
50¢29K
49¢30K
AskSize
54¢246
55¢59K
56¢111K
57¢110K
58¢691

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Milwaukee wins the San Diego vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 15, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY121940SDMIL-MIL

SF Signal
SF Index
9761.10
Regime
neutral

Event family

San Diego vs Milwaukee Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$23K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Milwaukee 53¢

Current share

91%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

0.91

IAR

2.0/h

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
0.91
IAR
2.0/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.