What is the current probability for "San Jose at Toronto: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 84¢ (84% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 16, 2026. 18 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "San Jose at Toronto: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.6% and 7993.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "San Jose at Toronto: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

San Jose at Toronto: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that San Jose at Toronto: Totals. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026.

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84¢

Bid/Ask 80/84¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $1·OI $1·Closes May 16, 2026·18d remaining

KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY02TORSJ-1

7-day price54 snapshots · 5 regime

80¢80¢ current

Apr 251¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If San Jose and Toronto collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Toronto vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.6%

IY (No) 7993.4%

Adj IY 3797%

CRI 4

Overround 0.9%

LAS 0.05

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7993.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3797%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.05	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/28/2026, 10:36:09 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 10:38:52 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY02TORSJ-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →