SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 12, 2026

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 49¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

50¢
$0 volume
$2K liquidity

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Ticker

0x208ab3cb…017e

Market snapshot

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET. The displayed quote is 50¢ from the latest venue quote. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC.

Outcome

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

50¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0x208ab3cb6ad0b3c787a16397df28678e0f8c33fd8512bbadaf3060d340bd017e. Family volume: .

Price history

50¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 51¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
49¢37
48¢22
47¢88
46¢8
45¢10
44¢130
43¢12
42¢202
AskSize
51¢44
52¢15
53¢88
54¢8
55¢10
56¢130
57¢12
58¢202

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

0x208ab3cb…017e

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.