SimpleFunctions

Rom Reddy to win South Carolina Governor Republican Primary

Rom Reddy is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner.

Price history

7¢ current

+6¢
0¢25¢
May 22, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome

Rom Reddy

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

Alan Wilson 34¢

Range

0¢-34¢

Family volume

$69K

Identifier

0x10a20956...80a6

May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$64

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Family volume

$69K

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 7¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢60
100¢33
5¢67
5¢53
5¢71
4¢101
0¢2.6K
AskSize
7¢44
7¢10
9¢118
9¢51
10¢50
11¢214
20¢11
20¢105

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Identifier

0x10a20956…80a6

SF Signal
SF Index
50479.64
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at , 0¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

50479.6%

IY (No)

205.7%

Adj IY

50480%

CRI

16

RV

2884%

VR

1.47

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

50479.6%
205.7%
Adj IY
50480%
16
RV
2884%
VR
1.47
IAR
2.1/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.