Will Rom Reddy be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Rom Reddy be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. Rom Reddy is priced at an extremely depressed 4¢ with zero 24-hour volume, suggesting minimal market interest despite 201 days to the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race.
Analysis
Rom Reddy is priced at an extremely depressed 4¢ with zero 24-hour volume, suggesting minimal market interest despite 201 days to the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race. The implied yield on a Yes resolution reaches an extraordinary 4367%, indicating either severe illiquidity or market skepticism about his nomination prospects, though the modest $6,987 open interest and recent price decline from 6¢ to 4¢ over seven days suggest this contract lacks conviction and depth. The 24 Cliff Risk Index warrants caution, as thin liquidity could produce sharp moves if significant news emerges around the nomination race.
Resolution rules
If Rom Reddy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGOVSCNOMR-26-RRED yes 100