SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 6, 202694 days left

Will Civil Miller-Watkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 10¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$949 volume
$1K liquidity
10% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$9K

Best sibling

Marquita Bradshaw 72¢

Ticker

0xba0b6351…49f3

Price history

4¢ current

10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 11¢

Polymarket
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢280
0¢3.7K
0¢65
AskSize
11¢101
11¢80
11¢15
17¢100
33¢75
66¢332
79¢200
79¢5

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee. If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 6, 2026

Identifier

0xba0b6351…49f3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6054.9%

IY (No)

24.7%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

16

RV

5987%

VR

12.37

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6054.9%
24.7%
Adj IY
0%
16
RV
5987%
VR
12.37
IAR
3.3/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
1.33

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