Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 32% probability that Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?. This contract trades at 32¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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32¢
Bid/Ask 31/32¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,991.206·OI $21,680.66·Closes Jun 30, 2026·61d remaining
0x7603555ca158dfb3ec4ef84a0d9d247b5229def167093a9e844e1ae383c5d83a
7-day price133 snapshots · 87 regime
62¢32¢ current
Apr 823¢Apr 29
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 23¢+9¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.77IY 3772.8%Close-time delta 692h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1266.9%
IY (No) 280.6%
Adj IY 1267%
CRI 2
RV 1828%
VR 5.56
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1266.9%
IY (No)280.6%
Adj IY1267%
CRI2
RV1828%
VR5.56
IAR0.7/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 6:46:35 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 6:38:28 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7603555ca158dfb3ec4ef84a0d9d247b5229def167093a9e844e1ae383c5d83a yes 100

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