What is the current probability for "Twins wins by over 4.5 runs?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 9¢ (9% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Twins wins by over 4.5 runs?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 61450.3% and 2577.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Twins wins by over 4.5 runs?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

Twins wins by over 4.5 runs?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

9¢

$1K volume

$826 liquidity

0% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$318K

Best sibling

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs 78¢

Ticker

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031245TORMIN-MIN5

Price history

9¢ current

−17¢

May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 10¢

Kalshi

1¢ spread

BidSize

9¢40

8¢1.0K

7¢2.0K

6¢3

5¢30

AskSize

10¢40

11¢3.0K

20¢10

37¢5

38¢11

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Twins wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Toronto vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031245TORMIN-MIN5

Event family

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031245TORMIN.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$318K

Outcomes