SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 16, 20267 days left

Will Ospreys win?

This contract is priced at 64¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 50¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 27¢ spread.

Implied probability

64¢
$24 volume
$2K liquidity
68% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$36

Best sibling

Scarlets 40¢

Ticker

0x633bac76…8cd3

Market snapshot

Ospreys in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ospreys win?. The displayed quote is 64¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $24. In the United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Scarlets family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Ospreys

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

64¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 16, 2026

Reported volume

$24

Family context

3 outcomes · United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Scarlets

Quote range

5¢-64¢

Family leader

Ospreys 64¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0x633bac7638e51c66dfad508beb96fb1c9f1e3eedb1458072fe4e6a4b5b6e8cd3. Family volume: $36.

Price history

64¢ current

+11¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

50 / 77¢

Polymarket
27¢ spread
BidSize
50¢8
49¢10
42¢107
33¢200
25¢166
24¢302
23¢20
22¢143
AskSize
77¢112
78¢100
83¢110
84¢200
86¢428
87¢1.6K
88¢261
89¢117

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026 If Ospreys wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 16, 2026

Identifier

0x633bac76…8cd3

Event family

United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Scarlets.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$36

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Ospreys 64¢

Current share

68%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3068.0%

IY (No)

9696.5%

Adj IY

6212%

CRI

2

RV

884%

VR

1.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3068.0%
9696.5%
Adj IY
6212%
2
RV
884%
VR
1.45
IAR
2.6/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.36

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