Will Scarlets win?
This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 23¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 34¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$36
Best sibling
Ospreys 64¢
Ticker
0xaa42c589…6d9e
Market snapshot
Scarlets in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Scarlets win?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6. In the United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Scarlets family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Scarlets
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
40¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 16, 2026
Reported volume
$6
Family context
3 outcomes · United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Scarlets
Quote range
5¢-64¢
Family leader
Ospreys 64¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: 0xaa42c589b41295532273c69216fc0e12da1704e5dd59a537732e9e69ac6d6d9e. Family volume: $36.
Price history
40¢ current
−8¢Orderbook snapshot
23 / 57¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026 If Scarlets wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 16, 2026
Identifier
0xaa42c589…6d9e
Event family
United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Scarlets.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$36
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Ospreys 64¢
Current share
18%
Scarlets
polymarket · 0xaa42c589b41295532273c69216fc0e12da1704e5dd59a537732e9e69ac6d6d9e
Ospreys
polymarket · 0x633bac7638e51c66dfad508beb96fb1c9f1e3eedb1458072fe4e6a4b5b6e8cd3
Draw
polymarket · 0xae0886f094c90696ea2ab1e6d1307c67884aae4a6478a623e61005d814a298bb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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