SimpleFunctions

Will Kurt Kitayama finish top 10 for U.S. Open

Kurt Kitayama is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXPGATOP10-USO26.

Price history

24¢ current

20¢25¢
May 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kurt Kitayama

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Bryson DeChambeau 42¢

Range

10¢-42¢

Family volume

$620

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-KKIT

May 24, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

Ask

23¢

Spread

23¢

Reported volume

$40

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOP10-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$620

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 23¢

Kalshi
23¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
23¢149
24¢3.0K
25¢4.5K
26¢6.8K
47¢244

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-KKIT

SF Signal
SF Index
1044.15
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2088.3%

IY (No)

208.3%

Adj IY

1044%

CRI

3

Overround

5.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2088.3%
208.3%
Adj IY
1044%
3
Overround
5.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.