Will Opendoor reach $6.75 in April?

This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $7.815 in open interest and a massive 50¢ spread, suggesting the 25¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus. The astronomical implied yield of 7442% on the "Yes" side indicates severe mispricing—Opendoor would need to rally roughly 167% from current levels to hit $6.75 during April 2026, a move the market assigns only 25% probability despite the substantial upside. With just 15 days to resolution and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this appears to be a stranded position where the bid-ask gap has widened dramatically, making the quoted price potentially unreliable for decision-making.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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