Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing April 29, 2026.

███████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
17¢
Bid/Ask 10/23¢·Spread 13¢·Vol $1,848.383·OI $2,628.334·Closes Apr 29, 2026·1d remaining
0x9c2e0bc6be941a564feb9df748674b472b68267616a81d60f2a154a261797ab9
7-day price41 snapshots · 4 regime
18¢17¢ current
Apr 266¢Apr 28
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 3¢+14¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.85IY 100000.0%Close-time delta 38h

Resolution rules

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 13947.6%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 5
RV 1300%
VR 0.15
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)13947.6%
Adj IY0%
CRI5
RV1300%
VR0.15
IAR0.8/h
Overround6.2%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/28/2026, 11:08:57 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 11:08:53 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x9c2e0bc6be941a564feb9df748674b472b68267616a81d60f2a154a261797ab9 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions