Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?

Prediction markets currently give a 70% probability that Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?. This contract trades at 70¢ on Polymarket, closing April 29, 2026.

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70¢
Bid/Ask 65/75¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $64.696·OI $2,684.165·Closes Apr 29, 2026·1d remaining
0xe30da1785707980f11d869a70e73bb42eb702af20a85c72ad0e8d3303e9b6fed
7-day price47 snapshots · 3 regime
75¢71¢ current
Apr 2671¢Apr 28
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 73¢-3¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 6370.9%Close-time delta 38h

Resolution rules

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 27814.3%
IY (No) >100,000%
Adj IY 21480%
CRI 2
RV 122%
VR 0.07
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)27814.3%
IY (No)>100,000%
Adj IY21480%
CRI2
RV122%
VR0.07
IAR0.8/h
Overround6.2%
LAS0.14

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/28/2026, 11:08:10 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 11:08:53 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xe30da1785707980f11d869a70e73bb42eb702af20a85c72ad0e8d3303e9b6fed yes 100

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