Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $441,968 in open interest, and the massive 67¢ spread (145% of the mid-price) suggests significant pricing uncertainty. The 46% probability implies HOOD needs to rally from current levels to $100 in just 15 days—a move requiring roughly 117% appreciation—which the 2904% annualized yield reflects as compensation for tail risk. With realized volatility at 1405% and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this appears to be a thin, speculative market where the extreme yield metrics may not represent genuine arbitrage opportunities given the illiquidity and binary nature of the April touch resolution.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

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