SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?

This contract is priced at 60¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 41¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 38¢ spread.

Implied probability

60¢
$578 volume
$59 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$32K

Best sibling

JAY-Z 48¢

Ticker

0x39735fe1…9e1e

Market snapshot

Taylor Swift in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?. The displayed quote is 60¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $578. In the Which artists will release a new song in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Taylor Swift

Family rank

#3 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

60¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$578

Family context

8 outcomes · Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

Quote range

21¢-100¢

Family leader

Drake 100¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: 0x39735fe1c56e0ce30bddd9622ff58d55454a1413814dedd5a87901b7fdd59e1e. Family volume: $32K.

Price history

60¢ current

17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

41 / 79¢

Polymarket
38¢ spread
BidSize
100¢45
41¢40
40¢5
38¢24
11¢5
10¢10
AskSize
79¢14
80¢65
90¢90
94¢11
95¢32
97¢55
99¢33

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances, recordings of live performances, or leaks) by the resolution date. Live versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, or similar non-original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.g., the song ‘girl, get up.’ counts as a new release for SZA as she is, equally to Doechii, labeled “Main Artist” in the Spotify credits to the song, regardless of feature indication in the title). For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x39735fe1…9e1e

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 81¢, -21¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

57.3%

IY (No)

418.7%

Adj IY

281%

CRI

3

RV

1100%

VR

11.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

57.3%
418.7%
Adj IY
281%
3
RV
1100%
VR
11.69
IAR
3.7/h
Overround
2.9%
LAS
0.33

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