Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
Also on kalshi at 15¢(Δ +15¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
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Trade
sf trade 0x00b5fdb186f9b48f34a77c9e04207c39221cdd106c1611d7ae362b8b85b200fb yes 100