Olivia Rodrigo · Which artists will release new albums in 2026
Olivia Rodrigo is priced at 99¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 98¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Which artists will release new albums in 2026?.
Price history
99¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Outcome
Olivia Rodrigo
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Range
17¢-99¢
Family volume
$78K
Identifier
0x4618b3d6...31fb
May 28, 2026, 7:18 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$78K
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x4618b3d6…31fb
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
Which artists will release new albums in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$78K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Current share
5%
Olivia Rodrigo
polymarket · 0x4618b3d681487cd0eb31bb82eb2862bcb572eea220af3f4aa607b14e54ad31fb
Beyoncé
polymarket · 0x2d857875438043c1e79a750650b188d313f3b7bd42a27de2b47928260c0ef506
Kendrick Lamar
polymarket · 0xbf97a4643151b6eaab647a112be686a52133a5f6af3e1bbe2190ef94e38651ed
Travis Scott
polymarket · 0xca634275e74cabcc22dfc4b3528f9d195869aa4827c63005fa817f459dd19ee5
Justin Bieber
polymarket · 0x8d16da2d9c02f19254048af42560846ceb0f0bf5da071a0a312df1c58e2b8dd9
Lana Del Rey
polymarket · 0x6947d1e419f570b92a6aa509cbb2eaf137fa9a0a1618b669b87a0bb354af3bd4
Sabrina Carpenter
polymarket · 0x8cec1aad1e97c1905dc42d46781c6b9fefeb8438ea5215e70aa55948cc3d4c96
The Weekend
polymarket · 0xf9bc7aa2347aed345f2c037520c3d5ff9b833cd605dbacb22e40cb8c4f397712
Eminem
polymarket · 0xc7f679982ec869e043a54456aa4c5003adf265ab96d8c96e09875c9284ed681c
Bad Bunny
polymarket · 0x2cfc4c6d577109270352159a5ea834e706b4434e27e0fee45cc40bbdf238c78f
Playboi Carti
polymarket · 0x9d4b05bf105b6ac1b67427e5b336680507aee28753ac0930333ebb3215eb1ce0
Taylor Swift
polymarket · 0x986578c2655979e0a8414ce04793c6e8226c7a368c25d1379cd300259cba1c09
Jay Z
polymarket · 0x8cb3fdbb7faef87d3ce2b0663fe150524029d8ea2fbe07e87f30804208072558
Billie Eilish
polymarket · 0x00b5fdb186f9b48f34a77c9e04207c39221cdd106c1611d7ae362b8b85b200fb
Rihanna
polymarket · 0x6a07dfa017ff96c5502d8c2e64cb00b0bdeb8a8426eccae80f2a64e06366ffdd
Frank Ocean
polymarket · 0xc5b751a3ead913be1a0fa6f1f587a52dd1b7fb3a8f15288e43c430d54b6e8d52
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.