Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 12¢ spread despite modest $1.6K open interest, suggesting thin order books and unreliable pricing. The 18¢ price has declined sharply from 23¢ over seven days, yet the astronomical 645% implied yield on "Yes" and 1,665% realized volatility indicate either mispricing or genuine uncertainty about Trump's travel plans to Oman specifically. With 258 days to expiration and a neutral regime, the market lacks conviction—traders should be cautious given the illiquidity and potential for significant repricing if Trump signals any Middle East diplomatic activity.

Resolution rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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