SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026241 days left

Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?

This contract is priced at 23¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 22¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

23¢
$29K volume
$2K liquidity
11% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$270K

Best sibling

Taiwan 5¢

Ticker

0xec25fff9…64ab

Price history

23¢ current

24¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 24¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
22¢10
21¢100
19¢94
15¢6
14¢20
10¢82
9¢215
8¢8
AskSize
24¢12
25¢157
26¢26
27¢20
28¢40
29¢10
50¢5
59¢7

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xec25fff9…64ab

Event family

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$270K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

China 95¢

Current share

11%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Italy

polymarket · 0xec25fff9ebd7b4ef5fecde23efcc876ed6b75c4870e2d0f0c03fdbe5f56364ab

23¢$29K$0

Taiwan

polymarket · 0x4eea504d6a9a609f2e6fe6b88de6327755282192ebbae4b3b170eac91b611214

5¢$79K$450.6

China

polymarket · 0x96df159cbd669e5182ce0f22430493f12279718e8c23bf654895ca4338899ae0

95¢$65K$5K0.0

Israel

polymarket · 0x572971eede0909d69662fe3e09d7c6ada9065ee792b6fa14548e85d6af90ee0b

53¢$22K$1090.1

France

polymarket · 0x7fc755ce8c4a2c13073dfdb3946c64fba5fec5f38470d5002f7e63583a66528b

91¢$12K$2470.0

Germany

polymarket · 0x77abd7f7b1d92d7273479a8e12aa200641a82fc73053dd73502091ac14cce524

52¢$11K$520.1

Turkey

polymarket · 0xebb9a87581bb1de91adc9bf9d1a9528cc203976a7f3ab2c9f98b8ef8ff531f30

71¢$8K$2590.0

India

polymarket · 0x64de3843f040e3b4ea1f205c98ecd6bfc38f293d1c53790f5e1c74c8d2140615

29¢$6K$0

United Kingdom

polymarket · 0x8782d89527979fd2d97ab44448a7249cdcf83cfddb0c2968216b4ad7a2d42704

79¢$6K$46

Russia

polymarket · 0x40c2dd3dc9e6fb511e58e2a67141b66a97aa569e6b59c9b1f14f65e734c173d1

14¢$6K$0

Ukraine

polymarket · 0x89522d57b6a2cca2f737872db3ca4adcbaf0252fda9a265d90d549e7aee7bd43

16¢$5K$770.1

North Korea

polymarket · 0x035b7cc0833f825c4476352a1d5edeb870fc8250776803352177d44d34b03c6e

11¢$5K$00.3

Japan

polymarket · 0xbff26f3f5b87131b491a07d8f493d76a1319e8a03d6f526a55b466aa57328df0

46¢$5K$30

South Korea

polymarket · 0x3ebd55f194a3645e64dceb8f78bf6b9682c24f778b8a20e0ec67e1ddd9bdcf58

39¢$4K$00.3

Mexico

polymarket · 0x4f95cd46bd8135256e761691edad83c8e648b86cafa2e772d3084d3e35153efa

26¢$3K$0

Canada

polymarket · 0xf6279279a7d6a8f5b3389ffea499313812180672d2d13ed32a8524ebd18e3b36

27¢$3K$92

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

506.3%

IY (No)

45.2%

Adj IY

506%

CRI

3

RV

227%

VR

1.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

506.3%
45.2%
Adj IY
506%
3
RV
227%
VR
1.04
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
7.4%

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