Pakistan · Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026
Pakistan is priced at 23¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 21¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?.
Price history
23¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Pakistan
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
France 98¢
Range
4¢-98¢
Family volume
$284K
Identifier
0xc1c987ae...b72c
Jun 8, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$121
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$284K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc1c987ae…b72c
Event family
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$284K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
France 98¢
Current share
1%
France
polymarket · 0x7fc755ce8c4a2c13073dfdb3946c64fba5fec5f38470d5002f7e63583a66528b
Turkey
polymarket · 0xebb9a87581bb1de91adc9bf9d1a9528cc203976a7f3ab2c9f98b8ef8ff531f30
United Kingdom
polymarket · 0x8782d89527979fd2d97ab44448a7249cdcf83cfddb0c2968216b4ad7a2d42704
Germany
polymarket · 0x77abd7f7b1d92d7273479a8e12aa200641a82fc73053dd73502091ac14cce524
Japan
polymarket · 0xbff26f3f5b87131b491a07d8f493d76a1319e8a03d6f526a55b466aa57328df0
South Korea
polymarket · 0x3ebd55f194a3645e64dceb8f78bf6b9682c24f778b8a20e0ec67e1ddd9bdcf58
Italy
polymarket · 0xec25fff9ebd7b4ef5fecde23efcc876ed6b75c4870e2d0f0c03fdbe5f56364ab
Israel
polymarket · 0x572971eede0909d69662fe3e09d7c6ada9065ee792b6fa14548e85d6af90ee0b
India
polymarket · 0x64de3843f040e3b4ea1f205c98ecd6bfc38f293d1c53790f5e1c74c8d2140615
Canada
polymarket · 0xf6279279a7d6a8f5b3389ffea499313812180672d2d13ed32a8524ebd18e3b36
Pakistan
polymarket · 0xc1c987ae6cf96c0c676527c8dfaee295eb7aff785a00d91ca6de37e87738b72c
Russia
polymarket · 0x40c2dd3dc9e6fb511e58e2a67141b66a97aa569e6b59c9b1f14f65e734c173d1
Ukraine
polymarket · 0x89522d57b6a2cca2f737872db3ca4adcbaf0252fda9a265d90d549e7aee7bd43
North Korea
polymarket · 0x035b7cc0833f825c4476352a1d5edeb870fc8250776803352177d44d34b03c6e
Lebanon
polymarket · 0xd81282f5791e3354572aa666ee1a2bdb8700e235a6d94b06a49c18c606eef1ce
Taiwan
polymarket · 0x4eea504d6a9a609f2e6fe6b88de6327755282192ebbae4b3b170eac91b611214
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.477
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.