Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026
John Schneider is priced at 34¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 52¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026.
Price history
34¢ current
+21¢Contract brief
If the Manager of the Toronto Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Schneider
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Carlos Mendoza 59¢
Range
2¢-59¢
Family volume
$302
Identifier
KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-JSCH
May 28, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
52¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$302
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Manager of the Toronto Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-JSCH
Event family
Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$302
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Carlos Mendoza 59¢
Current share
0%
Carlos Mendoza
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-CMEN
Kurt Suzuki
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-KSUZ
Joe Espada
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-JESP
A.J. Hinch
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-AHIN
Craig Counsell
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-CCOU
John Schneider
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-JSCH
Aaron Boone
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-ABOO
Blake Butera
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-BBUT
Craig Albernaz
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-CALB
Clayton McCullough
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-CMCC
Don Kelly
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-DKEL
Derek Shelton
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-DSHE
Dan Wilson
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-DWIL
Kevin Cash
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-KCAS
Craig Stammen
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-CSTA
Dave Roberts
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-DROB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.