SimpleFunctions

Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026

Kevin Cash is priced at 22¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 31¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026.

Price history

22¢ current

+19¢
0¢10¢20¢
Apr 27, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If the Manager of the Tampa Bay Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kevin Cash

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Carlos Mendoza 57¢

Range

2¢-57¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-KCAS

May 27, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 27, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

37¢

Spread

31¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 37¢

Kalshi
31¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.8K
6¢5
5¢400
AskSize
37¢200
70¢100
79¢47
80¢539
85¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Manager of the Tampa Bay Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXCOACHOUTMLB-26DEC01-KCAS

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3049.2%

IY (No)

12.4%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

16

Overround

2.3%

LAS

5.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

3049.2%
12.4%
Adj IY
0%
16
Overround
2.3%
LAS
5.17

Odds pages

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.