Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
10
Family volume
$276
Best sibling
Alex Pereira 23¢
Ticker
KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-AVOL
Market snapshot
Alexander Volkov in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6K. In the Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 14, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Alexander Volkov
Family rank
#5 of 10
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$6K
Family context
10 outcomes · Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026
Quote range
1¢-30¢
Family leader
Tom Aspinall 30¢
Last updated
May 14, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-AVOL. Family volume: $276.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Alexander Volkov is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-AVOL
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 10¢, -7¢ versus this page.
Event family
Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$276
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Tom Aspinall 30¢
Current share
0%
Alexander Volkov
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-AVOL
Alex Pereira
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-APER
Tom Aspinall
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-TASP
Ciryl Gane
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-CGAN
Sergei Pavlovich
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-SPAV
Curtis Blaydes
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-CBLA
Jailton Almeida
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-JALM
Waldo Cortes Acosta
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-WACO
Marcin Tybura
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-MTYB
Jon Jones
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-JJON
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.364
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 3% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.