Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026
Ciryl Gane is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026.
Price history
37¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ciryl Gane
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
Tom Aspinall 36¢
Range
1¢-36¢
Family volume
$517
Identifier
KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-CGAN
Jun 28, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$121
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$517
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-CGAN
Event family
Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$517
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Tom Aspinall 36¢
Current share
23%
Tom Aspinall
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-TASP
Ciryl Gane
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-CGAN
Josh Hokit
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-JHOK
Waldo Cortes Acosta
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-WACO
Jon Jones
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-JJON
Curtis Blaydes
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-CBLA
Alex Pereira
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-APER
Alexander Volkov
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-AVOL
Jailton Almeida
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-JALM
Marcin Tybura
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-MTYB
Sergei Pavlovich
kalshi · KXUFCHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-SPAV
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.