SimpleFunctions
KalshiSep 10, 2026124 days left

Who will join MLS in the summer?

This contract is priced at 11¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$0 volume
4.8 LAS liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$161

Best sibling

Casemiro 80¢

Ticker

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-KNAVAS

Market snapshot

Keylor Navas in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will join MLS in the summer?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Who will join MLS in the summer family, this outcome ranks #11 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Keylor Navas

Family rank

#11 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Sep 10, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

15 outcomes · Who will join MLS in the summer

Quote range

6¢-80¢

Family leader

Casemiro 80¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-KNAVAS. Family volume: $161.

Price history

11¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026Apr 26, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 15¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢261
6¢5
5¢200
AskSize
15¢200
91¢1.3K
92¢51
93¢28
97¢150

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Keylor Navas's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-KNAVAS

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4601.4%

IY (No)

18.7%

Adj IY

2301%

CRI

16

Overround

1.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4601.4%
18.7%
Adj IY
2301%
16
Overround
1.8%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index