SimpleFunctions
KalshiSep 10, 2026124 days left

Who will join MLS in the summer?

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 10¢ spread.

Implied probability

33¢
$622 volume
$405 liquidity
172% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$361

Best sibling

Casemiro 80¢

Ticker

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-RLEWANDOWSKI

Market snapshot

Robert Lewandowski in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will join MLS in the summer?. The displayed quote is 33¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $622. In the Who will join MLS in the summer family, this outcome ranks #3 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Robert Lewandowski

Family rank

#3 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

33¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 10, 2026

Reported volume

$622

Family context

15 outcomes · Who will join MLS in the summer

Quote range

6¢-80¢

Family leader

Casemiro 80¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-RLEWANDOWSKI. Family volume: $361.

Price history

33¢ current

8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 38¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.6K
28¢5
27¢200
6¢51
AskSize
38¢200
66¢5
67¢207
81¢47
82¢848

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Robert Lewandowski's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-RLEWANDOWSKI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

755.0%

IY (No)

114.2%

Adj IY

243%

CRI

3

Overround

1.8%

LAS

0.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

755.0%
114.2%
Adj IY
243%
3
Overround
1.8%
LAS
0.36

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