Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
This contract is priced at 82¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 80¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$353K
Best sibling
Connie Chan 1¢
Ticker
0x2e72b933…b0b8
Market snapshot
Scott Wiener in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?. The displayed quote is 82¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $70. In the Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Scott Wiener
Family rank
#1 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
82¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 2, 2026
24h volume
$70
Family context
7 outcomes · Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Quote range
0¢-83¢
Family leader
Scott Wiener 83¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0x2e72b933a1daa2f2b76a8af990dc44fb3f3fe02c3b99084ed99b40835a2db0b8. Family volume: $353K.
Price history
82¢ current
+15¢Orderbook snapshot
80 / 84¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x2e72b933…b0b8
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 83¢, -1¢ versus this page.
Event family
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11).
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$353K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Scott Wiener 83¢
Current share
11%
Scott Wiener
polymarket · 0x2e72b933a1daa2f2b76a8af990dc44fb3f3fe02c3b99084ed99b40835a2db0b8
Connie Chan
polymarket · 0xb92bb81b6ddef26d3100275bbb9497167bc56f862c9f7b4dd47399602712eda0
Jingchao Xiong
polymarket · 0x71aaf165aa8041b749ea8490848af90fba614a73a0de1d9d05648c842792eb34
Saikat Chakrabarti
polymarket · 0x44c72c4ac31bac49724c80ed46339917d95f109ee31764c806432c7091a03598
Darren Helton
polymarket · 0xd4ccd490b56f4c6432011c897003572ca624d760bfe53b2d7ffb5e17616128f1
Cole Bettles
polymarket · 0xbe2c0e11f71c22662701c8a6f00cf849c73711616de80a5ec68b31c63ffee12e
David Ganezer
polymarket · 0x37254af748c8a90611b7111ae8bc89cfa43b2a1470da2947463aa2410c2e81f5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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