SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 2, 202624 days left

Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 15¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$22K volume
$14K liquidity
6% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$353K

Best sibling

Connie Chan 1¢

Ticker

0x44c72c4a…3598

Market snapshot

Saikat Chakrabarti in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $165. In the Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Saikat Chakrabarti

Family rank

#2 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

16¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 2, 2026

24h volume

$165

Family context

7 outcomes · Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Quote range

0¢-83¢

Family leader

Scott Wiener 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x44c72c4ac31bac49724c80ed46339917d95f109ee31764c806432c7091a03598. Family volume: $353K.

Price history

16¢ current

24¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 18¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
15¢197
13¢134
6¢245
6¢351
6¢259
6¢46
6¢27
5¢200
AskSize
18¢14
22¢40
22¢20
22¢30
23¢20
25¢20
25¢50
25¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Identifier

0x44c72c4a…3598

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8066.7%

IY (No)

292.7%

Adj IY

8067%

CRI

5

RV

834%

VR

1.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

8066.7%
292.7%
Adj IY
8067%
5
RV
834%
VR
1.05
IAR
1.5/h

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