Who will the next Pope be?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$501
Best sibling
Anders Arborelius 3¢
Ticker
KXNEWPOPE-70-PERD
Market snapshot
Peter Erdo in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will the next Pope be?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $100. In the Who will the next Pope be family, this outcome ranks #5 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Peter Erdo
Family rank
#5 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2070
24h volume
$100
Family context
7 outcomes · Who will the next Pope be
Quote range
3¢-5¢
Family leader
Luis Antonio Tagle 5¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KXNEWPOPE-70-PERD. Family volume: $501.
Price history
3¢ current
−3¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Peter Erdo becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2070
Identifier
KXNEWPOPE-70-PERD
Event family
Who will the next Pope be.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$501
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Luis Antonio Tagle 5¢
Current share
20%
Peter Erdo
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-PERD
Anders Arborelius
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-AARB
Fridolin Ambongo
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-FAMB
Luis Antonio Tagle
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-LANT
Matteo Zuppi
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-MZUP
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-PPIZ
Pietro Parolin
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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