Who will the next Pope be?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$701
Best sibling
Anders Arborelius 3¢
Ticker
KXNEWPOPE-70-FAMB
Market snapshot
Fridolin Ambongo in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will the next Pope be?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $100. In the Who will the next Pope be family, this outcome ranks #5 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Fridolin Ambongo
Family rank
#5 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2070
24h volume
$100
Family context
7 outcomes · Who will the next Pope be
Quote range
3¢-5¢
Family leader
Pietro Parolin 5¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: KXNEWPOPE-70-FAMB. Family volume: $701.
Price history
3¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Fridolin Ambongo becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2070
Identifier
KXNEWPOPE-70-FAMB
Event family
Who will the next Pope be.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$701
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Pietro Parolin 5¢
Current share
14%
Fridolin Ambongo
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-FAMB
Anders Arborelius
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-AARB
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-PPIZ
Pietro Parolin
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR
Luis Antonio Tagle
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-LANT
Matteo Zuppi
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-MZUP
Peter Erdo
kalshi · KXNEWPOPE-70-PERD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 3% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.