Jesus · Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31
Jesus is priced at 36¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 51¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?.
Price history
36¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Outcome
Jesus
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Karoline Leavitt 53¢
Range
5¢-53¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
0x294c5ee2...c8a3
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
51¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x294c5ee2…c8a3
Event family
Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Karoline Leavitt 53¢
Current share
12%
Karoline Leavitt
polymarket · 0xe8157a9459709a6b41ac7db35823c339d5bb0c678570ad8e86b8bfcc14b58101
Jesus
polymarket · 0x294c5ee2d5d2d6bc5d4714e05e8bd41df7af8924d40183e56e5b4b8c01d2c8a3
Vladimir Putin
polymarket · 0x85b68d0c78516624b80da4a98ba8296b7a040f9d0f32b4fb3064c5692855aed3
Erika Kirk
polymarket · 0x1b5bf920c72dcf9be9096276bd1473407ed1b75dd31e4177e0a7d21ab94e0928
Kid Rock
polymarket · 0x7ab45a90c513355ab221ef75feca289caf96e26f10bdea193350d2ebdb96efa0
Franklin Graham
polymarket · 0xd0be2a6172edf522d344720972c90f18bba0f8084c0cea2cdaaa6948be815b14
Mark Rutte
polymarket · 0x6a35d12f30005fd78d360fb87b94ab1f99c36756d70fe1f1d77e0477a4d34686
Weijia Jiang
polymarket · 0x9eb45569a6b63197ff7a3811867ea5f56a599f52cb7c83c978b85b4a0d944b34
William McKinley
polymarket · 0xf17d3fee69d2224cdbaae0f81810f78227e84fe1a8b437085071500020d00b52
Oz Pearlman
polymarket · 0x86d623600ec2a876f8bbb552f5c0a36ddaf0d9fe2dd3f2b29e2492fe312fe49c
Ronny Jackson
polymarket · 0x02567842dbf50566b62220a556f5a36947c06fa2788bd781fa9e486f50d4367f
Lee Greenwood
polymarket · 0xa5e0f8452c404e2e36a853745af561a1bf6898c8dee5278a1aa0db6f9d592f42
Hillary Clinton
polymarket · 0x1c8fa360d69fa6bd7e62984b6f140164fcb9257be545f3e1e7febe72e69570a9
Pope Leo XIV
polymarket · 0x37862fc34837643ff10c83b6d054aae83e97f99ce1552f97bd854704403c124b
Allah
polymarket · 0x6db7750759c507d4f4c8ea4c2b3c93d2b1c41fdd052cec4b58b7f9ab2565e81d
Joe Biden
polymarket · 0x4891f328044a50ff6415326cf43bcaf00cc7bf436824ce5631f53a574932fbfb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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