Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?
This contract is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$3K
Best sibling
Spencer Pratt 28¢
Ticker
KXLAMAYOR1R-26-KBAS
Market snapshot
Karen Bass in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 58¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $228. In the Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Karen Bass
Family rank
#1 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
58¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 2, 2027
24h volume
$228
Family context
5 outcomes · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election
Quote range
1¢-57¢
Family leader
Karen Bass 57¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXLAMAYOR1R-26-KBAS. Family volume: $3K.
Price history
58¢ current
−8¢Orderbook snapshot
57 / 58¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Karen Bass wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXLAMAYOR1R-26-KBAS
Event family
Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Karen Bass 57¢
Current share
7%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 58% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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