SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 2, 2027389 days left

Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?

This contract is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

32¢
$36K volume
$21K liquidity
1066% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

Nithya Raman 15¢

Ticker

KXLAMAYOR1R-26-SPRA

Market snapshot

Spencer Pratt in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 32¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Spencer Pratt

Family rank

#2 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

32¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 2, 2027

24h volume

$3K

Family context

5 outcomes · Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election

Quote range

1¢-57¢

Family leader

Karen Bass 57¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXLAMAYOR1R-26-SPRA. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

32¢ current

+26¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 27, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 32¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
28¢184
27¢402
26¢250
25¢98
24¢500
AskSize
32¢38
33¢5.1K
34¢250
35¢500
53¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Spencer Pratt wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 2, 2027

Identifier

KXLAMAYOR1R-26-SPRA

Event family

Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Karen Bass 57¢

Current share

82%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

241.1%

IY (No)

36.5%

Adj IY

198%

CRI

3

RV

395%

VR

2.37

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

241.1%
36.5%
Adj IY
198%
3
RV
395%
VR
2.37
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.18

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