SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202622 days left

Will a team with below 3% odds win the #1 overall pick?

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

6¢
$689 volume
$587 liquidity

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

At least 14% odds 41¢

Ticker

KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-0-3

Price history

6¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026Apr 24, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
4¢105K
3¢6.0K
AskSize
6¢100K
8¢5.0K
9¢6.0K
24¢2
98¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the team officially announced as the winner of the #1 overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery has below 3% odds, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-0-3

Event family

Will a team with.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

At least 14% odds 41¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

39905.2%

IY (No)

69.3%

Adj IY

9976%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.50

Regime

maker

Score

0.295

Observability

none

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

39905.2%
69.3%
Adj IY
9976%
24
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.50

Odds pages

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