Will Adrian Smith be the Republican nominee for NE-03?
This contract is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 7¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$170
Best sibling
David Huebner 7¢
Ticker
KXNEPRIMARY-03R26-ASMI
Market snapshot
Adrian Smith in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Adrian Smith be the Republican nominee for NE-03?. The displayed quote is 97¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $60. In the KXNEPRIMARY-03R26 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Adrian Smith
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
97¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
24h volume
$60
Family context
2 outcomes · KXNEPRIMARY-03R26
Quote range
7¢-92¢
Family leader
Adrian Smith 92¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: KXNEPRIMARY-03R26-ASMI. Family volume: $170.
Price history
97¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
92 / 99¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Adrian Smith wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NE-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXNEPRIMARY-03R26-ASMI
Event family
KXNEPRIMARY-03R26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$170
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Adrian Smith 92¢
Current share
35%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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