SimpleFunctions

Allen Graves · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15

Allen Graves is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15.

Price history

6¢ current

10¢
10¢20¢
May 10, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Allen Graves is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Allen Graves

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Caleb Wilson 99¢

Range

3¢-99¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-AGRA

May 26, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

Ask

13¢

Spread

Reported volume

$200

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 13¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
6¢250
AskSize
13¢5
14¢2
15¢5
16¢250
93¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Allen Graves is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-AGRA

SF Signal
SF Index
7655.47
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NBA Draft First-Round Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTTOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

15310.9%

IY (No)

62.4%

Adj IY

7655%

CRI

16

Overround

8.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

15310.9%
62.4%
Adj IY
7655%
16
Overround
8.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.